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''"Fight for the things that you care about, but do it in a way that will lead others to join you." — Ruth Bader Ginsburg'' | |||
<big><big>'''Hand-writing Is On the Wall'''</big></big> | |||
May 2022 | |||
By Lawrence Wilkerson Col, USA (Ret) | |||
Whether it’s sea level rise, unprecedented drought, extreme weather events, devastating and wide-ranging fires, dwindling fresh water supplies, food scarcity, multiple pandemics, or massive human migrations (particularly from the Global South), or any number of these occurring simultaneously or synergistically, the hand-writing is on the wall... | |||
America must get moving now, not dither and doubt. The U.S. military’s risk factor equation is around 60-65 percent. That is, if the chance of disaster is that high, you buy insurance, the best policy you can afford. The risk with the climate crisis is human existence and the risk factor is at least 70-plus percent. Ask yourself what you would do. | |||
These recommendations in no way constitute an advocacy for more overseas bases for the U.S. military, a supplemental to its already-over-the-top budget, or an increase in its overall numbers. In fact, these recommendations absolutely eschew even more stupid, endless wars that detract from attention to genuine national security challenges such as that presented by the changing climate. | |||
* https://responsiblestatecraft.org/2022/05/17/us-military-must-renew-its-mission-to-meet-climate-charged-global-crisis/ | |||
:~ | |||
* https://www.greenpolicy360.net/w/Category:Strategic_Demands | |||
* https://strategicdemands.com/surviving-victory-from-the-archive/ | |||
* https://www.greenpolicy360.net/w/Category:Green_Politics | |||
* https://strategicdemands.com/environmental-security/ | |||
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''"Fight for the things that you care about, but do it in a way that will lead others to join you."'' | |||
: ''— Ruth Bader Ginsburg'' | |||
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[[File:Earth Day 2022 - Act up.png]] | :[[File:Earth Day 2022 - Act up.png]] | ||
Revision as of 13:24, 17 May 2022
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2022
Hand-writing Is On the Wall
May 2022
By Lawrence Wilkerson Col, USA (Ret)
Whether it’s sea level rise, unprecedented drought, extreme weather events, devastating and wide-ranging fires, dwindling fresh water supplies, food scarcity, multiple pandemics, or massive human migrations (particularly from the Global South), or any number of these occurring simultaneously or synergistically, the hand-writing is on the wall...
America must get moving now, not dither and doubt. The U.S. military’s risk factor equation is around 60-65 percent. That is, if the chance of disaster is that high, you buy insurance, the best policy you can afford. The risk with the climate crisis is human existence and the risk factor is at least 70-plus percent. Ask yourself what you would do.
These recommendations in no way constitute an advocacy for more overseas bases for the U.S. military, a supplemental to its already-over-the-top budget, or an increase in its overall numbers. In fact, these recommendations absolutely eschew even more stupid, endless wars that detract from attention to genuine national security challenges such as that presented by the changing climate.
- ~
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"Fight for the things that you care about, but do it in a way that will lead others to join you."
- — Ruth Bader Ginsburg
April 22, 2022
Earth Day
Via Strategic Demands, GreenPolicy360's associate:
Biden's (and the World's) Imperiled Climate Agenda
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As the War in Ukraine Rages
Update from GreenPolicy360's associate, Strategic Demands
Nuclear escalation threat
NTI Nuclear Weapon Threat News
U.S. NationalSecurity Adviser) Jake Sullivan:"
"The escalation risk with a nuclear power is severe, and it is a different kind of conflict than other conflicts the American people have seen over the years," he said on "State of the Union."
- https://www.cnn.com/2022/03/13/politics/jake-sullivan-meeting-chinese-counterpart-ukraine/index.html
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Oil/Gas Seen at Center of Ukraine War
Big Oil/Gas Companies: Prices Continue Up, Profits Up, Way Up
Russia-Ukraine War Brings Disruptions and Sanctions: Oil/Gas/Fuel Prices Surge in 2022
(2021 Report) The largest oil and gas companies made a combined $174bn in profits in the first nine months of the year as gasoline prices climbed in the US, according to a new report.
The bumper profit totals, provided exclusively to the Guardian, show that in the third quarter of 2021 alone, 24 top oil and gas companies made more than $74bn in net income. From January to September, the net income of the group, which includes Exxon, Chevron, Shell and BP, was $174bn.
- https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/dec/06/oil-companies-profits-exxon-chevron-shell-exclusive
March 2, 2022
General Assembly resolution demands end to Russian offensive in Ukraine
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February 28
United Nations latest global climate assessment delivers dire news
Last line of the latest IPCC policy document: "Scientific evidence is unequivocal: Climate change is a threat to human well-being & planetary health. Any further delay in global action will miss a brief & rapidly closing window of opportunity to secure a liveable & sustainable future for all."
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War in Ukraine, War on Ukraine
Washington Post | Opinion: Putin’s nuclear threats remind us arms control is dangerously unfinished business
Lost opportunity for nuclear arms control agreements and 'mutual security'
February 27
February 26
Nuclear Weapons Threat Remains a Highest Concern
- Will Russia-US-NATO-Ukraine-Germany-UK-France-Euro Negotiations Produce Offramp, or Bring Conflict?
- Dangers of War, Miscalculation, Mistake Run Deep
- Nuclear Proliferation or...
Nuclear Weapons in Europe ... Tactical/Strategic Background
- Security Perspectives, Security Demands: Russia, Ukraine, NATO, US, European nations
If one steps back and takes a broader look at the causes of potential war over the issue of Ukraine, the issue takes on a larger security perspective, i.e., nuclear weapons "modernization" and next generation "smart", "dial-up" tactical nuclear weapons imminently being deployed in Europe and other theaters.
The modernization of nuclear weapons post Cold War nuclear triad strategies, and the Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD) era of massive nuclear retaliation with 'launch on warning' command and control to assure land-based missile capabilities to respond to perceived preemptive attack has led to a new era, one of so-called small nukes.
They are not small, they are profoundly dangerous to real security and the current European, East-West standoff over Ukraine, demonstrates how these next generation nuclear weapons are bringing on new iterations of nuclear danger.
Given the saber rattling, the threats of war, the failing diplomacy broadcast as near ultimatums and resorts to use of force, and counterforce, let's hope that behind the news that's public there's a quiet negotiation going forward to resolve the primary security concerns of the nations facing off. Foremost are nuclear weapons and delivery systems that are clear and present dangers.
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Ready for 2022? #ActonClimate Today & Every Day
Now is the time for #ClimateAction
Climate Wire
Manchin, who owns a coal company, continues to reject the notion that climate change demands urgent action. He called the climate provisions in Biden’s bill “catastrophic.”
The bill’s defeat marked the third time since 1993 that Democrats have failed to pass a climate law after winning unified control of government — only now, scientists say there’s no time left to preserve a safe climate.
Global temperatures already have risen about 1.1 degrees Celsius from preindustrial levels. Biden has set a goal of cutting U.S. emissions in half by 2030 — roughly the same rate the entire world must follow, scientists say, in order to keep warming well below 2 C.
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Glasgow Climate Summit - Pledges, Promises, Declarations - What's Next Up
GreenPolicy360: Climate Pledges Must Be Enforced
How to turn each nation's climate pledges into 'effective climate action'
- Promises of international climate summits in Paris (2015) & Glasgow (2021) now require 'effective climate action follow on'
- Measuring & monitoring greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions with satellite missions can become -- 'Our climate tool working nation-by-nation'
GreenPolicy360 Siterunner - SJS / December 2021: Looking back to the 1960s and 70s to the beginnings of the Earth Science from Space missions of NASA and affiliated U.S. agencies, in association with higher education and aerospace business, the vision statements of Congressional leaders, recalling Rep. George E. Brown (D-Los Angeles), setting in motion the measuring and monitoring programs that have led to decades of atmospheric and earth systems data. This constellation of new space technology -- digital imaging, Earth 360° remote viewing, scientific observations, changes over time, trend lines, all can come into our hands. 'Drilling down', not for gas and oil, but in the parsing of data, now has the promise to provide essential ways and means to deliver a real- and extended-time knowledge base which can be used, effectively and we propose legally, to deliver on pledges and promises made at international climate change conferences and summits.
Let us do our part in continuing to expand this first-generation earth science vision -- space-based cooperative missions, initiatives and ventures -- that makes it possible to turn database tracking of emissions (externalities) -- CO2, methane, CFCs and other gases -- nation-by-nation into Climate Plan Enforcement (CPEs).
It is time to move from distant pledges to coordinated nation-by-nation climate action. Using best practices, effective nationally determined, and legally enforced operational plans, we can become agents of change making a positive real-world difference. As it is said -- "Earth Is In Our Hands", let us turn science and knowledge into climate action now.
The strategic demands for international cooperation and action is our generations greatest task and our legacy. Let us take up our climate challenge. Our time is today to enforce well intended, but extremely hard to achieve climate pledges.
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Summit for Democracy
As the data comes in: 'Democracy is backsliding across the globe'
United States Department of State Organizes 'Summit for Democracy' - December 9-10, 2021
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Remembering the First Earth Summit
GreenPolicy360 Siterunner: Thirty years ago and now I'm older and looking back at the first "Earth Summit" that led to the first global climate 'Conference of the Parties'. My reports to the Environmental News Service (ENS) picked up on the green, environmental platform planks I was also adding to the Platform in Progress for California Governor Jerry Brown's presidential campaign. The first Earth Summit and Governor Brown's energetic efforts both moved a vital, forward-looking vision and both encountered myriad obstacles from powers-that-be and business-as-usual. The obstacles didn't stop before or after 1992. The work continued on and continues to today... November 2021, fifty years on...
I'm now remembering and picking up and continuing the threads of Representative George E. Brown's work to advance climate science, beginning in earnest with the first National Climate Act of 1978 and establishment of the Office of Science and Technology Policy to push what was called a "big science, earth science" agenda with the first generation of focused earth studies and science, measuring and monitoring 'the Commons' , earth's atmosphere, natural resources (e.g., Landsat's start up and a deep, multi-decade array of NASA/NOAA/USGS missions that have now continued for half a century.
A tip of our GreenPolicy360 hat to #PlanetCitizens and #PlanetCitizensPlanetScientists.
Here's to Opportunities for Citizen Activism
FB post from GreenPolicy360's siterunner
"We’re running the most dangerous experiment in history right now, which is to see how much carbon dioxide the atmosphere can handle before there is an environmental catastrophe... The greater the change to the chemical composition of the physical, chemical makeup of the oceans and atmosphere [due to increased carbon emissions], the greater the long-term effect will be... [W]hy would you run this crazy experiment to see how bad it'll be? We know it's at least some bad, and the overwhelming scientific consensus is that it'll be 'really bad'." -- Elon Musk
"We are beginning to realize the extent of an existential experiment humanity is conducting in the atmosphere of the planet, the "Thin Blue Layer". The Anthropocene era is a gathering storm that is changing 'nature' as nature used to be... Our challenge is to use our native intelligence to protect the life-enabling atmosphere, to make decisions that sustain and benefit life today and for future generations." -- Steven Schmidt
- by Alice Bell
- Publication scheduled for September 2021
- Traversing science, politics, and technology, Our Biggest Experiment shines a spotlight
- on the little-known scientists who sounded the alarm to reveal the history behind the
- defining story of our age: the climate crisis.
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This Is 'Code Red'
"We've got to listen to the scientists and the economists, and the national security experts, they all tell us this is code red," Biden said... "The nation and the world are in peril. That's not hyperbole. That is a fact."
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As climate pledges fall short, U.N. predicts globe could warm by catastrophic 2.7 degrees Celsius
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Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
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Climate in the Infrastructure Bill: A substantial investment in resilience
Infrastructure Bill Passes in Senate: Next Up, 3.5T Resolution
Follow-on reconciliation package of legislation essential to address green policy, energy, climate
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31 Vital Earth Signs
'Virtual signs' worsening
Tipping points, deepening disaster
Researchers, part of a group of more than 14,000 scientists who have signed on to an initiative declaring a worldwide climate emergency, said that governments had consistently failed to address the root cause of climate change: "the overexploitation of the Earth".
Of 31 "vital signs"—key metrics of planetary health that include greenhouse gas emissions, glacier thickness, sea-ice extent and deforestation—they found that 18 hit record highs or lows.
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Surface temperatures in Siberia heat up to a mind-boggling 118 degrees
_-_Apr_17_2022.png){kind=link}
Via Climate.gov
From Portland, Oregon, to Vancouver, Canada, the heat during the end of June didn't just break records; it buried them. Learn more in this Event Tracker post.
Devastating News: Climate Change Impacts to Hit Sooner than Predicted
Climate change will fundamentally reshape life on Earth in the coming decades, even if humans can tame planet-warming greenhouse gas emissions, according to a landmark draft report from the UN's climate science advisors obtained by AFP.
Species extinction, more widespread disease, unliveable heat, ecosystem collapse, cities menaced by rising seas—these and other devastating climate impacts are accelerating and bound to become painfully obvious before a child born today turns 30.
The choices societies make now will determine whether our species thrives or simply survives as the 21st century unfolds, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) says in a draft report seen exclusively by AFP.
But dangerous thresholds are closer than once thought, and dire consequences stemming from decades of unbridled carbon pollution are unavoidable in the short term.
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Intergenerational
- "The worst is yet to come, affecting our children's and grandchildren's lives much more than our own."